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Prediction · BOXN-32145
Predicted ETA
17:55 hrs
Confidence
89%
Total Time
4h 22m
| Factor | Minutes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Base Running Time | 200 | 76.3% |
| Corridor Waiting (MGS-DDU) | 25 | 9.5% |
| Crew Change at MGS | 8 | 3.1% |
| Speed Restriction CO-2026-441 | 10 | 3.8% |
| Interchange Queue (MGS) | 12 | 4.6% |
| Passenger Path Conflict | 7 | 2.7% |
Global Feature Importance
Narrative Explanation
Train BOXN-32145 is predicted to arrive at 17:55 hrs with 89% confidence. The dominant factor is the base section running time on the DHN-STL-ASN-UDL inbound route. Secondary contributors are corridor waiting on STL-ASN (high passenger train density between 14:00–17:00) and an active caution order (CO-2026-441) imposing 30 km/h restriction at Sitarampur yard. Crew change at STL adds 8 minutes; interchange queue of 14 rakes at Sitarampur adds 12 minutes. Passenger paths 12303 Poorva Express and 13007 U.A. Toofan currently dictate the next available window into ASN.